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Red230
654557.7
553383.7
523078.7
Blue215
608775.5
361884.0
171197.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15518204006008001,0001,200230215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.73.6
55.158.7
Auto14.6
Teleop40.7
End28.4
blue by 14.1
1711
#18
97.85.1
61.466.5
Auto13.2
Teleop35.6
End49.0
Second
5230
#14
78.76.0
56.362.2
Auto5.6
Teleop35.5
End37.7
blue by 5.3
3618
#16
84.05.1
70.976.1
Auto12.5
Teleop38.9
End32.7
Third
6545
#17
57.720.9
66.845.9
Auto9.1
Teleop29.0
End19.6
blue by 17.8
6087
#13
75.55.1
36.641.7
Auto9.8
Teleop30.3
End35.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed