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Red395
553576.4
3656109.5
4237100.4
Blue281
524888.4
522772.4
125460.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3172160100400500600395281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
109.50.2
109.5109.7
Auto11.1
Teleop48.6
End49.8
red by 21.0
5248
#19
88.40.8
87.688.4
Auto10.1
Teleop36.4
End41.9
Second
100.40.2
100.5100.7
Auto15.6
Teleop44.0
End40.8
red by 28.1
5227
#15
72.40.8
71.572.4
Auto5.0
Teleop27.0
End40.3
Third
5535
#26
76.40.2
76.476.6
Auto4.6
Teleop33.9
End37.8
red by 16.1
1254
#20
60.20.8
59.460.2
Auto10.6
Teleop30.9
End18.7