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Red255
553576.4
3656109.5
4237100.4
Blue305
283494.3
546290.6
520479.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions308274150200250350400450500255305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
109.50.7
109.7109.0
Auto11.1
Teleop48.6
End49.8
red by 15.2
94.30.9
94.295.1
Auto11.1
Teleop40.1
End43.1
Second
100.40.7
100.7100.0
Auto15.6
Teleop44.0
End40.8
red by 9.8
90.60.9
90.591.4
Auto12.7
Teleop36.2
End41.8
Third
5535
#26
76.40.7
76.675.9
Auto4.6
Teleop33.9
End37.8
blue by 3.4
5204
#27
79.80.9
79.780.6
Auto9.1
Teleop38.3
End32.4