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Red260
604383.5
194094.2
295976.9
Blue255
567489.2
571071.1
550192.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262267150200300350400260255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
94.20.2
92.492.7
Auto5.4
Teleop41.5
End47.2
red by 1.7
5501
#16
92.50.1
92.392.4
Auto10.3
Teleop42.5
End39.7
Second
6043
#23
83.50.2
81.882.1
Auto10.2
Teleop35.0
End38.4
blue by 5.6
5674
#14
89.20.1
89.189.1
Auto6.6
Teleop38.7
End43.8
Third
2959
#10
76.90.2
75.275.5
Auto11.0
Teleop32.9
End33.1
red by 5.8
71.10.1
71.071.1
Auto8.0
Teleop36.7
End26.4