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Red215
518270.4
519487.7
432791.2
Blue237
5675100.6
562367.6
91080.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions268249100200300400500215237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.20.8
92.091.2
Auto10.6
Teleop37.8
End42.8
blue by 9.4
5675
#12
100.60.0
97.497.3
Auto6.7
Teleop46.6
End47.2
Second
87.70.8
88.587.7
Auto10.9
Teleop43.3
End33.5
red by 7.4
910
#28
80.30.0
77.177.0
Auto8.6
Teleop31.5
End40.2
Third
5182
#25
70.40.8
71.270.4
Auto9.4
Teleop30.4
End30.6
red by 2.8
5623
#11
67.60.0
64.464.4
Auto7.3
Teleop35.2
End25.0