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Red185
518270.4
519487.7
432791.2
Blue249
5675100.6
562367.6
91080.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274247100150200300350400450500185249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.21.6
93.692.0
Auto10.6
Teleop37.8
End42.8
blue by 9.4
5675
#12
100.60.2
97.197.4
Auto6.7
Teleop46.6
End47.2
Second
87.71.6
90.188.5
Auto10.9
Teleop43.3
End33.5
red by 7.4
910
#28
80.30.2
76.877.1
Auto8.6
Teleop31.5
End40.2
Third
5182
#25
70.41.6
72.871.2
Auto9.4
Teleop30.4
End30.6
red by 2.8
5623
#11
67.60.2
64.264.4
Auto7.3
Teleop35.2
End25.0