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Red294
91080.3
562367.6
5675100.6
Blue266
295976.9
194094.2
604383.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253273150200300350400450294266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5675
#12
100.61.1
98.699.7
Auto6.7
Teleop46.6
End47.2
red by 6.4
94.20.4
94.694.2
Auto5.4
Teleop41.5
End47.2
Second
910
#28
80.31.1
78.379.4
Auto8.6
Teleop31.5
End40.2
blue by 3.3
6043
#23
83.50.4
84.083.5
Auto10.2
Teleop35.0
End38.4
Third
5623
#11
67.61.1
65.666.8
Auto7.3
Teleop35.2
End25.0
blue by 9.4
2959
#10
76.90.4
77.476.9
Auto11.0
Teleop32.9
End33.1