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Red257
91080.3
562367.6
5675100.6
Blue256
295976.9
194094.2
604383.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions252273150200300350400450257256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5675
#12
100.60.2
98.498.6
Auto6.7
Teleop46.6
End47.2
red by 6.4
94.20.0
94.694.6
Auto5.4
Teleop41.5
End47.2
Second
910
#28
80.30.2
78.078.3
Auto8.6
Teleop31.5
End40.2
blue by 3.3
6043
#23
83.50.0
84.084.0
Auto10.2
Teleop35.0
End38.4
Third
5623
#11
67.60.2
65.465.6
Auto7.3
Teleop35.2
End25.0
blue by 9.4
2959
#10
76.90.0
77.477.4
Auto11.0
Teleop32.9
End33.1