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Red330
606672.2
516675.6
214580.2
Blue185
561287.4
366773.9
523478.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions255257180200220240280300320340330185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.21.4
85.286.5
Auto6.9
Teleop34.6
End38.7
blue by 7.2
5612
#13
87.41.3
88.387.0
Auto7.3
Teleop36.8
End43.2
Second
75.61.4
80.682.0
Auto7.4
Teleop31.0
End37.3
blue by 2.7
5234
#16
78.41.3
79.378.0
Auto9.0
Teleop37.2
End32.1
Third
6066
#18
72.21.4
77.178.5
Auto7.6
Teleop40.9
End23.7
blue by 1.8
3667
#10
73.91.3
74.873.6
Auto8.9
Teleop38.6
End26.4