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Red290
606672.2
516675.6
214580.2
Blue255
561287.4
366773.9
523478.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2622500100200300400500290255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.20.4
86.586.9
Auto6.9
Teleop34.6
End38.7
blue by 7.2
5612
#13
87.40.4
87.087.4
Auto7.3
Teleop36.8
End43.2
Second
75.60.4
82.082.4
Auto7.4
Teleop31.0
End37.3
blue by 2.7
5234
#16
78.40.4
78.078.4
Auto9.0
Teleop37.2
End32.1
Third
6066
#18
72.20.4
78.578.9
Auto7.6
Teleop40.9
End23.7
blue by 1.8
3667
#10
73.90.4
73.673.9
Auto8.9
Teleop38.6
End26.4