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Red210
566150.2
543699.5
661863.3
Blue235
214580.2
523478.4
46845.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2201650100300400210235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
99.50.9
99.7100.6
Auto14.8
Teleop40.8
End43.9
red by 19.3
80.27.4
70.077.3
Auto6.9
Teleop34.6
End38.7
Second
6618
#11
63.30.9
56.757.6
Auto7.6
Teleop41.4
End14.3
blue by 15.1
5234
#16
78.47.4
67.274.6
Auto9.0
Teleop37.2
End32.1
Third
5661
#31
50.20.9
44.945.8
Auto6.6
Teleop26.4
End17.2
red by 4.9
468
#36
45.37.4
26.834.2
Auto2.6
Teleop31.5
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed