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Red165
260432.6
523556.6
1506101.2
Blue311
516675.6
31494.9
494118.0
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1712740100200300400500165311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1506
#15
101.21.3
92.691.3
Auto11.7
Teleop37.7
End51.7
blue by 16.8
494
#1
118.06.8
105.6112.3
Auto12.9
Teleop51.7
End53.3
Second
5235
#34
56.61.2
46.345.0
Auto7.7
Teleop26.6
End22.3
blue by 38.3
314
#6
94.96.8
80.587.2
Auto13.6
Teleop41.6
End39.7
Third
2604
#38
32.61.2
37.936.7
Auto5.8
Teleop23.7
End3.1
blue by 43.0
75.66.8
59.866.5
Auto7.4
Teleop31.0
End37.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed