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Red212
277191.7
90478.0
4004100.1
Blue343
141109.2
440989.3
323481.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions290296200250350400212343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4004
#16
100.11.4
102.6101.1
Auto12.2
Teleop43.8
End44.1
blue by 9.1
141
#11
109.20.9
109.1110.0
Auto14.8
Teleop40.0
End54.4
Second
2771
#30
91.71.4
94.192.7
Auto13.9
Teleop43.0
End34.8
red by 2.4
89.30.9
89.290.1
Auto10.1
Teleop36.0
End43.3
Third
904
#6
78.01.4
79.578.0
Auto11.7
Teleop35.0
End31.3
blue by 3.3
3234
#15
81.40.9
81.382.1
Auto10.8
Teleop42.8
End27.8