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Red309
448273.7
21695.8
124390.2
Blue219
6090107.5
85892.4
485578.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2713050200400600800309219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
216
#12
95.81.1
96.497.4
Auto10.1
Teleop38.8
End46.9
blue by 11.7
107.51.5
109.5108.0
Auto14.8
Teleop45.9
End46.8
Second
1243
#28
90.21.1
90.791.8
Auto11.4
Teleop42.7
End36.2
blue by 2.3
858
#3
92.41.5
94.593.0
Auto11.7
Teleop35.7
End45.1
Third
4482
#27
73.71.1
74.275.3
Auto10.2
Teleop34.5
End28.9
blue by 5.1
4855
#19
78.81.5
80.879.4
Auto10.4
Teleop32.4
End36.0