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Red212
277191.7
167763.5
4004100.1
Blue215
141109.2
440989.3
323481.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions267302100150200350400450500212215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4004
#16
100.11.0
101.1100.1
Auto12.2
Teleop43.8
End44.1
blue by 9.1
141
#11
109.21.5
110.0108.5
Auto14.8
Teleop40.0
End54.4
Second
2771
#30
91.71.0
92.791.7
Auto13.9
Teleop43.0
End34.8
red by 2.4
89.31.5
90.188.6
Auto10.1
Teleop36.0
End43.3
Third
1677
#14
63.51.0
64.563.5
Auto6.6
Teleop31.7
End25.2
blue by 17.8
3234
#15
81.41.5
82.180.6
Auto10.8
Teleop42.8
End27.8