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Red260
521571.8
261992.1
508699.0
Blue255
566057.9
556185.9
499473.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2712120100300400500600260255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
99.00.3
94.294.5
Auto8.1
Teleop43.4
End47.5
red by 13.2
5561
#12
85.91.0
83.284.2
Auto9.0
Teleop44.0
End32.9
Second
92.10.3
87.387.6
Auto15.4
Teleop39.2
End37.5
red by 18.9
4994
#14
73.21.0
70.671.6
Auto4.2
Teleop38.9
End30.1
Third
5215
#24
71.80.3
67.067.3
Auto7.1
Teleop25.9
End38.8
red by 13.9
5660
#19
57.91.0
55.256.3
Auto6.1
Teleop29.3
End22.6