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Red303
508699.0
261992.1
521571.8
Blue280
7090.1
611773.4
654871.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273234100200300400500303280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
99.01.1
95.896.9
Auto8.1
Teleop43.4
End47.5
red by 8.9
70
#11
90.11.2
87.888.9
Auto10.6
Teleop45.8
End33.7
Second
92.11.1
88.990.0
Auto15.4
Teleop39.2
End37.5
red by 18.8
73.41.2
71.072.2
Auto4.4
Teleop45.7
End23.3
Third
5215
#24
71.81.1
68.669.7
Auto7.1
Teleop25.9
End38.8
red by 0.4
6548
#16
71.41.3
68.870.1
Auto3.2
Teleop33.4
End34.8