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Red333
521571.8
261992.1
508699.0
Blue285
566057.9
556185.9
499473.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271215100300400500333285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
99.01.3
94.595.8
Auto8.1
Teleop43.4
End47.5
red by 13.2
5561
#12
85.91.6
84.285.9
Auto9.0
Teleop44.0
End32.9
Second
92.11.3
87.688.9
Auto15.4
Teleop39.2
End37.5
red by 18.9
4994
#14
73.21.6
71.673.2
Auto4.2
Teleop38.9
End30.1
Third
5215
#24
71.81.3
67.368.6
Auto7.1
Teleop25.9
End38.8
red by 13.9
5660
#19
57.91.6
56.357.9
Auto6.1
Teleop29.3
End22.6