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Red200
520184.5
506697.4
132290.8
Blue212
590788.5
1684101.3
649364.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2912640100200400500600200212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5066
#29
97.40.0
97.497.4
Auto7.8
Teleop44.1
End45.5
blue by 3.9
1684
#25
101.30.0
101.3101.3
Auto11.7
Teleop49.6
End40.0
Second
1322
#27
90.80.0
90.890.8
Auto10.3
Teleop40.9
End39.6
red by 2.3
5907
#15
88.50.0
88.588.5
Auto11.2
Teleop40.2
End37.1
Third
5201
#19
84.50.0
84.584.5
Auto7.0
Teleop32.5
End45.0
red by 20.2
6493
#39
64.30.0
64.364.3
Auto4.5
Teleop28.8
End31.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
3%Rotor odds8%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds