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Red209
5150121.1
494120.7
91095.3
Blue155
332294.7
561296.7
5436117.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3603200100200400500600700800209155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
121.10.0
121.1121.1
Auto15.9
Teleop53.1
End52.1
red by 3.6
5436
#21
117.50.0
117.5117.5
Auto11.5
Teleop57.5
End48.5
Second
494
#4
120.70.0
120.7120.7
Auto16.6
Teleop60.1
End44.0
red by 24.0
5612
#44
96.70.0
96.796.7
Auto6.8
Teleop43.0
End46.9
Third
910
#12
95.30.0
95.395.3
Auto15.3
Teleop51.1
End28.9
red by 0.6
94.70.0
94.794.7
Auto8.3
Teleop45.3
End41.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
95%Rotor odds5%Rotor odds
Pressure
1%Pressure odds1%Pressure odds