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Red255
5197.0
5114103.8
516768.3
Blue155
245103.9
4961113.1
550289.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2763300100200400500600700800255155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103.80.0
103.8103.8
Auto10.3
Teleop53.4
End40.1
blue by 9.3
4961
#14
113.10.0
113.1113.1
Auto14.0
Teleop52.7
End46.4
Second
51
#28
97.00.0
97.097.0
Auto12.0
Teleop39.7
End45.3
blue by 7.0
245
#41
103.90.0
103.9103.9
Auto11.0
Teleop43.8
End49.2
Third
5167
#16
68.30.0
68.368.3
Auto9.6
Teleop36.1
End22.7
blue by 21.5
5502
#42
89.80.0
89.889.8
Auto9.0
Teleop42.5
End38.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
14%Rotor odds15%Rotor odds
Pressure
1%Pressure odds1%Pressure odds