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Red237
226111.3
132290.8
1684101.3
Blue365
70385.8
314108.9
2832107.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3193180100200400500600237365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#36
111.30.0
111.3111.3
Auto15.0
Teleop50.2
End46.1
red by 2.4
314
#10
108.90.0
108.9108.9
Auto16.1
Teleop55.8
End37.0
Second
1684
#25
101.30.0
101.3101.3
Auto11.7
Teleop49.6
End40.0
blue by 6.0
2832
#11
107.30.0
107.3107.3
Auto14.5
Teleop46.9
End45.9
Third
1322
#27
90.80.0
90.890.8
Auto10.3
Teleop40.9
End39.6
red by 5.0
703
#2
85.80.0
85.885.8
Auto12.6
Teleop34.4
End38.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
53%Rotor odds36%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds1%Pressure odds