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Red145
561296.7
548116.6
107118.9
Blue321
27111.3
353490.2
4961113.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353328100200300400500600145321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107
#38
118.90.0
118.9118.9
Auto17.6
Teleop49.9
End51.4
red by 5.8
4961
#14
113.10.0
113.1113.1
Auto14.0
Teleop52.7
End46.4
Second
548
#24
116.60.0
116.6116.6
Auto13.4
Teleop54.9
End48.3
red by 5.3
27
#23
111.30.0
111.3111.3
Auto20.2
Teleop53.7
End37.4
Third
5612
#44
96.70.0
96.796.7
Auto6.8
Teleop43.0
End46.9
red by 6.5
3534
#18
90.20.0
90.290.2
Auto13.1
Teleop36.1
End41.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
42%Rotor odds36%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds1%Pressure odds