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Red160
568534.9
387574.6
83085.6
Blue255
524866.3
525675.6
600270.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2072150100300400500600700160255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
830
#6
85.60.8
86.385.5
Auto12.9
Teleop40.3
End32.4
red by 10.1
5256
#12
75.61.2
72.373.5
Auto11.0
Teleop31.0
End33.5
Second
74.60.8
75.374.5
Auto14.0
Teleop38.7
End21.9
red by 4.0
6002
#19
70.61.2
67.468.6
Auto7.8
Teleop24.6
End38.2
Third
5685
#21
34.90.8
35.734.8
Auto1.0
Teleop25.5
End8.5
blue by 31.3
5248
#17
66.31.2
63.164.2
Auto6.7
Teleop26.7
End32.9