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Red170
524866.3
525675.6
600270.6
Blue255
400394.8
432778.5
520472.0
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2242480100300400500600170255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5256
#12
75.61.1
76.775.6
Auto11.0
Teleop31.0
End33.5
blue by 19.2
4003
#11
94.80.5
90.691.1
Auto12.6
Teleop38.7
End43.4
Second
6002
#19
70.61.1
71.870.6
Auto7.8
Teleop24.6
End38.2
blue by 7.9
78.50.5
74.474.9
Auto8.0
Teleop30.9
End39.7
Third
5248
#17
66.31.1
67.466.3
Auto6.7
Teleop26.7
End32.9
blue by 5.7
5204
#16
72.00.6
67.367.9
Auto8.4
Teleop29.0
End34.6