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Red171
642529.2
522733.7
421699.2
Blue115
600270.6
601119.4
520472.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1461780100200300400171115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
99.20.2
87.387.5
Auto7.7
Teleop44.9
End46.6
red by 27.3
5204
#16
72.04.8
68.663.9
Auto8.4
Teleop29.0
End34.6
Second
5227
#22
33.70.2
31.431.6
Auto4.3
Teleop15.4
End14.1
blue by 36.9
6002
#19
70.64.4
66.962.5
Auto7.8
Teleop24.6
End38.2
Third
6425
#32
29.20.2
24.624.9
Auto2.5
Teleop22.4
End4.4
red by 9.9
6011
#33
19.44.4
28.924.5
Auto4.7
Teleop24.8
End-10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed