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Red163
438145.7
613837.4
400394.8
Blue195
387574.6
525675.6
550263.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1652150100300400500163195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4003
#11
94.80.1
84.884.7
Auto12.6
Teleop38.7
End43.4
red by 19.2
5256
#12
75.60.2
70.570.3
Auto11.0
Teleop31.0
End33.5
Second
4381
#36
45.70.1
42.642.6
Auto7.0
Teleop25.8
End13.0
blue by 28.9
74.60.2
68.968.7
Auto14.0
Teleop38.7
End21.9
Third
6138
#29
37.40.1
36.636.5
Auto8.4
Teleop24.5
End4.5
blue by 25.7
5502
#18
63.20.2
57.857.6
Auto3.1
Teleop25.9
End34.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed