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Red255
609085.1
277196.8
70101.1
Blue445
107681.5
332294.7
150499.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305261150200350400450500255445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#3
101.10.6
101.2100.6
Auto12.3
Teleop51.0
End37.8
red by 1.7
1504
#32
99.42.0
92.094.1
Auto10.5
Teleop51.4
End37.5
Second
96.80.6
96.996.3
Auto9.8
Teleop39.8
End47.2
red by 2.1
3322
#13
94.72.0
87.489.4
Auto8.3
Teleop45.3
End41.1
Third
6090
#20
85.10.6
85.284.6
Auto9.4
Teleop36.7
End39.0
red by 3.6
1076
#26
81.52.0
74.276.2
Auto12.3
Teleop42.3
End26.9