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Red445
150499.4
332294.7
107681.5
Blue447
302102.3
2611109.6
366899.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions268349100200300400500600445447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1504
#32
99.41.8
96.097.7
Auto10.5
Teleop51.4
End37.5
blue by 10.3
109.60.6
112.2112.8
Auto12.0
Teleop49.7
End47.9
Second
3322
#13
94.71.8
91.393.1
Auto8.3
Teleop45.3
End41.1
blue by 7.5
302
#6
102.30.6
104.8105.4
Auto9.7
Teleop43.4
End49.1
Third
1076
#26
81.51.8
78.179.9
Auto12.3
Teleop42.3
End26.9
blue by 18.3
3668
#14
99.80.6
102.3102.9
Auto12.9
Teleop42.9
End44.0