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Red269
317569.2
3414103.0
31479.8
Blue255
503106.3
2832107.0
515666.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2513010100200400500269255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103.00.4
100.7101.1
Auto11.0
Teleop37.8
End54.3
blue by 4.0
107.00.5
106.8106.3
Auto7.1
Teleop48.1
End51.9
Second
314
#20
79.80.4
77.577.9
Auto16.9
Teleop42.1
End20.8
blue by 26.4
503
#8
106.30.5
106.1105.5
Auto12.8
Teleop45.8
End47.7
Third
3175
#37
69.20.4
66.867.3
Auto6.5
Teleop32.9
End29.8
red by 2.5
5156
#17
66.70.5
66.566.0
Auto9.5
Teleop33.8
End23.4