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Red276
317569.2
3414103.0
31479.8
Blue290
503106.3
2832107.0
515666.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2532990100200400500276290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103.00.7
101.1101.8
Auto11.0
Teleop37.8
End54.3
blue by 4.0
107.00.2
106.3106.5
Auto7.1
Teleop48.1
End51.9
Second
314
#20
79.80.7
77.978.6
Auto16.9
Teleop42.1
End20.8
blue by 26.4
503
#8
106.30.2
105.5105.7
Auto12.8
Teleop45.8
End47.7
Third
3175
#37
69.20.7
67.367.9
Auto6.5
Teleop32.9
End29.8
red by 2.5
5156
#17
66.70.2
66.066.1
Auto9.5
Teleop33.8
End23.4