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Red305
523961.1
590786.5
548105.0
Blue255
521775.0
552386.9
553175.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions267246100150200300350400450305255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#22
105.01.2
104.2105.4
Auto12.6
Teleop46.4
End46.0
red by 18.1
86.90.4
86.586.9
Auto6.8
Teleop33.6
End46.5
Second
86.51.2
85.686.9
Auto7.0
Teleop43.0
End36.4
red by 11.4
5531
#16
75.10.4
74.775.1
Auto11.4
Teleop37.9
End25.8
Third
5239
#36
61.11.2
60.361.5
Auto9.9
Teleop37.7
End13.6
blue by 13.9
5217
#15
75.00.4
74.675.0
Auto7.3
Teleop41.8
End25.9