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Red330
523961.1
590786.5
548105.0
Blue251
31479.8
3414103.0
317569.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2682520100200300400500330251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#22
105.01.2
105.0106.1
Auto12.6
Teleop46.4
End46.0
red by 2.0
103.00.2
99.599.7
Auto11.0
Teleop37.8
End54.3
Second
86.51.2
86.487.6
Auto7.0
Teleop43.0
End36.4
red by 6.6
314
#20
79.80.2
76.376.5
Auto16.9
Teleop42.1
End20.8
Third
5239
#36
61.11.2
61.162.2
Auto9.9
Teleop37.7
End13.6
blue by 8.1
3175
#37
69.20.2
65.765.9
Auto6.5
Teleop32.9
End29.8