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Red188
566074.7
570989.4
439284.4
Blue311
3452105.8
5501108.1
554788.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2633260100200400500600700188311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
89.41.5
92.490.9
Auto12.6
Teleop41.4
End35.3
blue by 18.7
108.10.2
107.6107.8
Auto11.4
Teleop47.3
End49.4
Second
4392
#13
84.41.5
87.485.9
Auto9.3
Teleop42.3
End32.9
blue by 21.4
105.80.2
105.3105.5
Auto10.9
Teleop45.1
End49.8
Third
5660
#27
74.71.5
77.776.1
Auto8.0
Teleop36.9
End29.8
blue by 14.0
5547
#19
88.70.2
88.288.4
Auto11.7
Teleop42.4
End34.5