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Red187
439590.3
159696.5
655892.4
Blue285
611382.1
437577.9
607784.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3102450100200400500600187285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.52.2
98.796.5
Auto9.4
Teleop45.4
End41.8
red by 12.2
6077
#31
84.31.0
83.384.3
Auto7.7
Teleop38.1
End38.5
Second
92.42.2
94.692.4
Auto7.2
Teleop42.0
End43.2
red by 10.3
6113
#22
82.11.0
81.182.1
Auto7.1
Teleop37.3
End37.7
Third
4395
#16
90.32.2
92.590.3
Auto4.6
Teleop37.3
End48.3
red by 12.3
4375
#10
77.91.0
77.077.9
Auto10.1
Teleop38.3
End29.6