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Red261
439590.3
159696.5
655892.4
Blue235
611382.1
437577.9
607784.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3152450100200400500600700261235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.51.2
99.998.7
Auto9.4
Teleop45.4
End41.8
red by 12.2
6077
#31
84.30.2
83.583.3
Auto7.7
Teleop38.1
End38.5
Second
92.41.2
95.894.6
Auto7.2
Teleop42.0
End43.2
red by 10.3
6113
#22
82.10.2
81.381.1
Auto7.1
Teleop37.3
End37.7
Third
4395
#16
90.31.2
93.692.5
Auto4.6
Teleop37.3
End48.3
red by 12.3
4375
#10
77.90.2
77.177.0
Auto10.1
Teleop38.3
End29.6