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Red255
361753.3
5509113.4
862104.2
Blue307
439284.4
570989.4
566074.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2942590200400600800255307

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
113.40.4
114.2113.8
Auto10.7
Teleop52.8
End49.9
red by 24.0
89.41.3
90.091.3
Auto12.6
Teleop41.4
End35.3
Second
862
#8
104.20.4
104.9104.5
Auto11.1
Teleop53.1
End40.0
red by 19.8
4392
#13
84.41.3
85.086.3
Auto9.3
Teleop42.3
End32.9
Third
3617
#21
53.30.4
54.053.6
Auto5.0
Teleop27.9
End20.4
blue by 21.4
5660
#27
74.71.3
75.376.6
Auto8.0
Teleop36.9
End29.8