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Red285
361753.3
5509113.4
862104.2
Blue245
608860.6
663789.8
24775.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2982260100400500600700285245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
113.40.3
113.9114.2
Auto10.7
Teleop52.8
End49.9
red by 23.6
6637
#14
89.80.5
89.389.8
Auto8.0
Teleop35.3
End46.5
Second
862
#8
104.20.3
104.7104.9
Auto11.1
Teleop53.1
End40.0
red by 29.1
247
#23
75.10.5
74.775.1
Auto8.2
Teleop36.8
End30.2
Third
3617
#21
53.30.3
53.854.0
Auto5.0
Teleop27.9
End20.4
blue by 7.4
6088
#20
60.60.5
60.260.6
Auto6.2
Teleop29.2
End25.2