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Red395
361753.3
5509113.4
862104.2
Blue317
439284.4
570989.4
566074.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2922640100200400500600700800395317

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
113.40.5
113.8114.3
Auto10.7
Teleop52.8
End49.9
red by 24.0
89.41.2
91.392.5
Auto12.6
Teleop41.4
End35.3
Second
862
#8
104.20.5
104.5105.1
Auto11.1
Teleop53.1
End40.0
red by 19.8
4392
#13
84.41.2
86.387.5
Auto9.3
Teleop42.3
End32.9
Third
3617
#21
53.30.5
53.654.1
Auto5.0
Teleop27.9
End20.4
blue by 21.4
5660
#27
74.71.2
76.677.7
Auto8.0
Teleop36.9
End29.8