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Red462
170189.0
1684112.3
217118.0
Blue258
600293.4
68118.1
90482.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions352317100200400500600462258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#2
118.00.8
119.9120.7
Auto10.0
Teleop50.3
End57.7
blue by 0.1
68
#3
118.11.0
120.4119.4
Auto8.1
Teleop57.0
End53.1
Second
112.30.8
114.1115.0
Auto15.5
Teleop55.5
End41.3
red by 18.8
6002
#24
93.41.0
95.794.7
Auto14.5
Teleop42.9
End36.0
Third
1701
#15
89.00.8
90.991.7
Auto9.2
Teleop36.6
End43.2
red by 6.2
904
#17
82.81.0
85.184.1
Auto12.1
Teleop35.8
End34.9