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Red264
170189.0
1684112.3
217118.0
Blue269
600293.4
68118.1
90482.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions356313100200400500600264269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#2
118.01.4
120.7119.3
Auto10.0
Teleop50.3
End57.7
blue by 0.1
68
#3
118.10.6
119.4118.8
Auto8.1
Teleop57.0
End53.1
Second
112.31.4
115.0113.6
Auto15.5
Teleop55.5
End41.3
red by 18.8
6002
#24
93.40.6
94.794.1
Auto14.5
Teleop42.9
End36.0
Third
1701
#15
89.01.4
91.790.3
Auto9.2
Teleop36.6
End43.2
red by 6.2
904
#17
82.80.6
84.183.5
Auto12.1
Teleop35.8
End34.9