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Red280
504681.1
477986.9
366784.0
Blue266
5150113.8
1189102.4
516768.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265305100200400500280266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86.90.0
88.088.0
Auto13.1
Teleop50.1
End23.7
blue by 26.9
5150
#19
113.80.5
113.4112.9
Auto14.6
Teleop47.9
End51.3
Second
84.00.0
85.185.1
Auto11.5
Teleop42.1
End30.5
blue by 18.4
102.40.5
102.0101.5
Auto12.5
Teleop46.6
End43.4
Third
5046
#21
81.10.0
82.282.2
Auto7.0
Teleop34.7
End39.4
red by 12.8
5167
#31
68.30.5
67.967.4
Auto9.6
Teleop36.1
End22.7