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Red454
90482.8
68118.1
600293.4
Blue208
5155110.6
5048101.6
653898.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314343100200400500454208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
#3
118.11.1
119.2120.3
Auto8.1
Teleop57.0
End53.1
red by 7.5
5155
#12
110.62.6
113.4110.8
Auto12.1
Teleop53.2
End45.3
Second
6002
#24
93.41.1
94.595.6
Auto14.5
Teleop42.9
End36.0
blue by 8.1
101.62.6
104.3101.8
Auto10.0
Teleop36.2
End55.4
Third
904
#17
82.81.1
83.985.0
Auto12.1
Teleop35.8
End34.9
blue by 16.1
6538
#13
98.92.6
101.699.1
Auto8.8
Teleop42.5
End47.5