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Red187
521678.4
607189.1
542481.0
Blue330
522278.0
550993.9
606774.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2682510100200300400500600187330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
89.11.5
90.488.9
Auto8.9
Teleop34.5
End45.8
blue by 4.7
93.91.4
91.993.3
Auto10.8
Teleop48.2
End34.9
Second
81.01.5
82.380.8
Auto6.3
Teleop29.9
End44.8
red by 3.0
5222
#13
78.01.4
76.077.4
Auto5.9
Teleop40.6
End31.5
Third
5216
#22
78.41.5
79.778.3
Auto6.0
Teleop45.7
End26.8
red by 3.8
6067
#20
74.71.4
72.774.1
Auto7.3
Teleop39.4
End28.0