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Red316
566155.7
1506119.5
3770109.4
Blue245
571273.3
570378.0
70384.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions296240100200400500316245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
119.50.7
115.5116.3
Auto13.2
Teleop46.5
End59.8
red by 34.8
703
#19
84.60.2
84.484.6
Auto11.8
Teleop29.2
End43.6
Second
109.40.7
105.4106.2
Auto15.1
Teleop52.6
End41.7
red by 31.3
5703
#14
78.00.2
77.878.0
Auto3.7
Teleop31.9
End42.5
Third
5661
#37
55.70.7
51.852.5
Auto5.4
Teleop29.0
End21.3
blue by 17.5
5712
#15
73.30.2
73.173.3
Auto5.1
Teleop43.2
End25.0