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Red307
566155.7
1506119.5
3770109.4
Blue255
522278.0
550993.9
606774.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3022520100200400500307255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
119.50.6
117.9118.5
Auto13.2
Teleop46.5
End59.8
red by 25.6
93.90.2
93.793.9
Auto10.8
Teleop48.2
End34.9
Second
109.40.6
107.8108.4
Auto15.1
Teleop52.6
End41.7
red by 31.4
5222
#13
78.00.2
77.878.0
Auto5.9
Teleop40.6
End31.5
Third
5661
#37
55.70.6
54.154.7
Auto5.4
Teleop29.0
End21.3
blue by 18.9
6067
#20
74.70.2
74.574.7
Auto7.3
Teleop39.4
End28.0