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Red267
658283.8
74126.2
910106.9
Blue310
516293.2
4970117.8
571280.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34531702006008001,0001,2001,400267310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74
#1
126.21.2
127.0125.9
Auto11.9
Teleop55.8
End58.4
red by 8.4
117.80.0
121.8121.8
Auto14.9
Teleop46.7
End56.1
Second
910
#3
106.91.2
107.8106.6
Auto17.1
Teleop45.8
End44.1
red by 13.7
5162
#10
93.20.0
97.297.2
Auto11.0
Teleop42.4
End39.8
Third
6582
#22
83.81.2
84.783.5
Auto9.0
Teleop42.8
End32.0
red by 3.3
5712
#26
80.50.0
84.584.6
Auto10.5
Teleop43.1
End26.9