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Red451
571280.5
4970117.8
516293.2
Blue396
107103.7
553881.4
521375.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331263100200300400500451396

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
117.80.9
122.2123.1
Auto14.9
Teleop46.7
End56.1
red by 14.1
107
#33
103.70.8
102.9103.7
Auto12.0
Teleop48.1
End43.6
Second
5162
#10
93.20.9
97.698.6
Auto11.0
Teleop42.4
End39.8
red by 11.8
5538
#11
81.40.8
80.581.4
Auto8.9
Teleop33.3
End39.1
Third
5712
#26
80.50.9
85.085.9
Auto10.5
Teleop43.1
End26.9
red by 4.8
5213
#17
75.70.8
74.975.7
Auto7.0
Teleop35.1
End33.6