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Red265
556779.8
3620105.0
276793.8
Blue200
553550.9
561052.0
368897.1
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3021940100400500265200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.00.2
102.8102.6
Auto14.5
Teleop56.0
End34.5
red by 7.9
3688
#17
97.10.1
96.896.7
Auto9.3
Teleop38.3
End49.5
Second
93.80.2
91.691.5
Auto7.3
Teleop41.0
End45.6
red by 41.8
5610
#15
52.00.1
51.751.6
Auto6.4
Teleop28.8
End16.8
Third
5567
#20
79.80.2
77.577.4
Auto12.8
Teleop32.4
End34.5
red by 28.9
5535
#16
50.90.1
50.650.5
Auto3.9
Teleop26.3
End20.7