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Red318
556779.8
3620105.0
276793.8
Blue303
191899.5
546279.1
345278.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294258100200400500318303

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.01.0
103.5104.5
Auto14.5
Teleop56.0
End34.5
red by 5.5
99.51.2
97.498.6
Auto11.9
Teleop47.5
End40.1
Second
93.81.0
92.493.3
Auto7.3
Teleop41.0
End45.6
red by 14.7
79.11.3
76.878.1
Auto11.7
Teleop29.6
End37.8
Third
5567
#20
79.81.0
78.379.3
Auto12.8
Teleop32.4
End34.5
red by 1.8
3452
#32
78.01.3
75.777.0
Auto5.3
Teleop40.1
End32.5